NFL Week 4 games

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

The Cowboys showed signs of life last week, though it was too little too late against the Ravens. I expect Dallas to correct its mistakes and secure a win in New York. The Giants are coming off a victory over the Browns, but there isn’t much excitement around their performance, apart from Nabers, who has posted Beckham-esque stats. If the Cowboys can contain him, they should be in good shape. Our model predicts a 6-point win for Dallas, making the Vegas pick DAL -4.5.


New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons have been inconsistent—scraping by for a win one week, then falling short the next. Despite their talent (aside from the quarterback position), I remain unconvinced about their potential. The Saints’ offense resembles what the Falcons’ offense could be. According to our model, the Saints will win outright by 4 points, making NOLA +1.5 the play.


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Carolina Panthers

The Bengals have been underperforming in matchups they should be winning, and the upcoming game against a resurgent Panthers team doesn’t look promising for them. While the Bengals need this win badly, I’m not confident they’ll pull through. Our model gives the Bengals a slight 2.5-point edge, making the points offered by the books too tempting to pass up. CAR +6.


Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears

The Rams are dealing with significant injuries, and their recent victory against the 49ers was surprising. Still, with Stafford leading the charge, I expect this to be a close game. The Bears’ defense is strong, but their offense has been woefully ineffective, largely due to a struggling offensive line. Our model sees this as a pick’em game, so we’ll take the points with LAR +1.5.


Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

This matchup features two strong teams colliding in what will be a must-watch game. Minnesota’s defense is elite, capable of shutting down any offense, while Green Bay may see the return of Jordan Love under center following his Week 1 injury. Our model gives the Vikings a 1-point advantage, making MIN +2.5 a great value pick.


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

This looks like a bounce-back game for the Texans after their recent embarrassment in Minnesota. The Jaguars, on the other hand, are trending downward after being overwhelmed in Buffalo. Our model predicts a Texans victory by a touchdown, so the pick is HOU -4.


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Steelers continue to find ways to win, even if it isn’t always pretty. While there’s little to praise in their QB play, Fields is managing the game well and avoiding costly mistakes. Meanwhile, Colts’ QB Richardson is reckless and inaccurate, making poor decisions that raise concerns. Our model projects the Steelers by 4, so the official play is PIT -1.5.


Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets

The Broncos showed some spark with Bo Nix making key throws, while the Jets looked out of sorts in their loss to the Patriots. Both teams lack strong offenses, so this could become a defensive battle. Our model has the Jets winning by 4 points, making DEN +8 an appealing line.


Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Eagles, coming off a tough game, face the Buccaneers, who will be looking to rebound from last week’s loss. Mayfield is set for a comeback performance, especially with the game being in Tampa Bay. The Eagles struggled mightily against the Saints last week and will likely be without key receivers again. Tampa Bay, the home underdog, presents good value. Our model predicts TB -1, so we’ll take TB +2.5.


Washington Commanders vs. Arizona Cardinals

The Commanders impressed against the Bengals last week, with Jayden Daniels emerging as a potential Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate. Despite flying under the radar, this Washington team could make a push in the NFC East. Meanwhile, the Cardinals struggled against the Lions and were outcoached. Our model sees this game as almost even, giving the Cardinals a slight edge at -1, but the Commanders should be able to stay competitive. The play here is WSH +5.5.


New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers

The Patriots had a dismal showing against the Jets in their Thursday Night matchup, abandoning the run game early and relying too much on Brissett’s arm. Ideally, Maye starts this week to spark some life into the offense. The 49ers are dealing with a rash of injuries, making the outcome hard to predict. Our model expects a San Francisco win by 9.5 points, but with all the variables at play, the value lies with NE +10.5.


Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Chiefs remain one of the NFL’s top teams, despite some close games. They face a familiar rival in the Chargers, who are dealing with injuries. With Herbert likely limited, the Chiefs should win outright. Our model favors Kansas City by a touchdown, but there’s still value in the positive spread with the Chargers. LAC +9.5.


Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Browns looked terrible in their last outing, benefiting from an early touchdown but failing to generate much else. With Watson underperforming and Garrett sidelined, the Raiders have a clear path to victory. Our model has Las Vegas favored by 1 point, so we’ll take LV +1.5 for the safety net.


Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Bills steamrolled the Jaguars last week, and their narrow Week 1 game against the Cardinals now looks like an anomaly. Meanwhile, the Ravens struggled to put away the Cowboys, nearly letting them mount a comeback. Our model favors the Bills by 3 points, so BUF +2.5 is an easy pick.


Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins

The Titans haven’t caught a break this season, and the Dolphins should be able to capitalize on home-field advantage. Despite their quarterback issues, Miami is expected to pull through. While the line is closer than I’d prefer, our model has the Dolphins winning by 5.5 points, so MIA +1.5 is the play.


Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions

This could be the game of the week, as the undefeated Seahawks take on the Lions in primetime. The Seahawks have yet to face a true test, playing relatively weak opponents so far. The line this week seems inflated, and I may have overrated Seattle’s ELO. Our model favors the Lions by a field goal, so we’re reluctantly betting SEA +4.5, hoping for a close game.

NFL Week 4 ELO ratings

Notes from Manual Adjustments:

Negative Adjustments:

  • Miami Dolphins: -30 The Dolphins are grappling with uncertainty at the quarterback position. Their recent performance was lackluster as they struggled against Seattle. The team may consider acquiring a new quarterback to salvage the season, as they currently appear directionless.
  • Los Angeles Chargers: -20 The Chargers faced setbacks as both Herbert and their top offensive tackle, Joe Alt, exited the game early due to injuries. While a bye week is forthcoming, a challenging matchup against the Chiefs looms before they can regroup.
  • San Francisco 49ers: -25 The 49ers are contending with ongoing injuries and a disappointing loss in what felt like a home game in LA. McCaffrey is underperforming and seeking medical advice abroad, Hargrave is sidelined for the season, and Purdy is experiencing back issues. The team’s resilience is tested as they await a late-season bye week.
  • Cleveland Browns: -20 The Browns’ recent defeat to the Giants further highlights their struggles. Garrett is out with a foot injury, Chubb remains sidelined, and Watson is far from his peak form. The team’s performance is subpar, and significant improvements are needed to turn their season around.
  • Philadelphia Eagles: -15 Despite a victory, the Eagles exhibited sloppy play. Their secondary is vulnerable, and questionable coaching decisions, such as an unrealistic field goal attempt, marred their performance. Hurts is underperforming, though some standout defensive plays have obscured broader issues.
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: -15 Jacksonville’s performance has been disappointing, with Lawrence struggling significantly. The team’s morale is low, exacerbated by poor offensive line play and ongoing losses. This trend could lead to broader organizational changes if not addressed.

Positive Adjustments:

Denver Broncos: +15 The Broncos revitalized their season with a convincing win in Tampa Bay. They effectively neutralized key opposing players, with Bo Nix displaying promising mobility and decision-making. This victory injects much-needed momentum into their campaign.

Carolina Panthers: +20 The Panthers are showing signs of resurgence, buoyed by Andy Dalton’s performance against the Raiders. While caution remains due to Dalton’s inconsistent history, the team’s recent victory suggests potential for continued improvement.

Minnesota Vikings: +25 The Vikings’ defense remains their strong suit, effectively confusing opposing quarterbacks. Darnold and Aaron Jones have excelled despite injuries, contributing to the team’s successful performances.

NFL Week 3 games

New England Patriots at NY Jets
The Jets edged out a win against the Titans last week, but it was a close one. The Patriots thrive in tight games, and a 6.5 spread feels too generous. I’m taking NE +6.5 (and wouldn’t be shocked if they win outright).

LA Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Chargers have looked solid the past two weeks, despite key offseason departures. Coach Harbaugh hasn’t skipped a beat in his NFL return. However, our model leans towards the Steelers’ grit. PIT -1.5.

Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts
Caleb Williams continues to struggle behind the Bears’ offensive line. This could turn into a punting-heavy slugfest. Despite the rough outlook, our model likes CHI +1.5, though it may be an ugly game to watch.

Houston Texans at Minnesota Vikings
The Texans had a close call against the Bears last week, which raised some concerns. If they couldn’t win by double digits, they might struggle against the Vikings’ defense. I’m taking MIN +2.5.

NY Giants at Cleveland Browns
The Giants’ offensive woes continue, and they now face Cleveland’s secondary. I wouldn’t be surprised if Daniel Jones gets benched mid-game. CLE -6 feels like a solid bet as the Browns settle into the season.

Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints
After a disappointing home loss, I’m starting to question the Eagles’ defensive commitment and ability to close out games. This year’s team is not what we’ve seen in the past. I’m going with the model’s pick: NOLA -2.5.

Denver Broncos at Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay looks like a contender, heading home at 2-0 against a banged-up Broncos squad. While their run game needs work, I think Tampa Bay will overcome Denver’s corners. TB -6.5.

Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans
The Packers are managing fine without Love, and Willis’ steady game management should see them through. Tennessee, meanwhile, struggles in clutch moments. I’m leaning towards GB +3.

Carolina Panthers at Las Vegas Raiders
After a brutal home loss, Carolina is benching last year’s lottery pick QB for Andy Dalton, though I doubt it will help much. Expect turnovers and a collapsing offensive line. The Raiders, coming off a strong showing against the Ravens, should cover the LV -5.5.

Miami Dolphins at Seattle Seahawks
Skylar Thompson steps in at QB for the Dolphins, and while the concerns may be overblown, I think Miami’s speed will create opportunities against the Seahawks’ secondary. I like MIA +5.

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
Despite Goff’s tough outing last week, I believe it was a rare off-game. Arizona’s offense has been strong, but I see the Lions’ defense, especially Hutchinson, giving them the edge. DET -2.5.

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys
The Ravens are staring down an 0-3 start, while the Cowboys are looking to bounce back from a blowout loss. I think Dallas gets back on track at home. I’m taking DAL +1.5.

San Francisco 49ers at LA Rams
The Rams were a mess last week, and now, without Kupp and Nuca, they’re in even more trouble. While McCaffrey remains out for the 49ers, I don’t see the Rams falling to 0-3. I’m on LAR +7.5, but they’ll need some offensive creativity.

Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
Mahomes and the Chiefs roll into Atlanta, where the Falcons’ win over the Eagles last week was more about Philly’s defensive lapses. Our model has Kansas City winning by more than a touchdown, so we’ll gladly take KC -3.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills
The Bills looked like their playoff selves last week, even before Tua’s injury. The Jaguars are struggling, and unless their defense steps up, the Bills should score 30+. I’m taking BUF -5.

Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals fell just short against Kansas City, but they should halt their skid here. However, the Commanders look good enough to keep it close, and with too many points on offer, I’m taking WSH +7.5.

ELO Ratings Week 3

Manual adjustment notes:

Negatives:
-30 for Miami as they lost their quarterback Tua Tagovailoa due to a concussion last game even though he wasn’t playing well up to his exit. Skyler Thompson is now in and his numbers weren’t that impressive before so lets see what he can do but for now there is a dramatic difference in their ELO ratings.

-20 for LA Rams as injuries continue to plague them when Cooper Kupp got banged up in this horrific defeat to the Cardinals. With Nuca and now Kupp out Stafford will continue to struggle as this might be a down year for him as he continues to age at 36.

-20 for Chicago as the offensive line continues to open the door for opposing defenses. As long as the line plays like this we will have to fade Caleb Williams and his Bears. Did I mention he also doesn’t have a passing touchdown yet?

-15 for San Francisco as they got beat in Minnesota and still with out McCaffrey (on IR). This should’ve been an easy game for them to win but failed to live up to the task.

Positives:
+20 for Buffalo as they steamrolled the Dolphins (even with Tua in). They looked tip top shape after that week 1 scare with the Cardinals.
+15 for the LA Chargers as Harborough continues to put on a masterclass of a coaching show for the team. JK Dobbins has been reborn since his injuries in the past and looks like he could be among the top rushers this season.
+10 for New Orleans and their offensive prowess, is it a fluke or are they for real? Time will tell but give them the slight chemistry boost for now.
+10 for Tampa Bay as Baker Mayfield has found his home, the passing game if for real but I have some questions about that run game.
+10 for Cleveland as the fears of Deshaun Watson regression has been overblown and looks decent enough to get the job done.
+10 for Carolina as Andy Dalton steps in as QB, surely he cant be as bad as Bryce Young, can he?
+10 for Washington during a week where they had 3 TD’s scored on them they managed to win with all field goals, truly an interesting feat. I think this team will start clicking soon, the playmakers are there.

NFL Week 2 games

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Dolphins barely escaped last game with a win, it probably wont be easier this week when Buffalo comes to town. You can expect this game to be extremely close. Our model has this game as a “pick em” that slightly leans to the Bills. As of this writing it looks like you can get good value on the Bills as they are offering points at Bills +2, that we will take.
New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys
Both of these teams showed dominant wins over unimpressive teams. After this game we shall see who is really deserving of the praise back in week 1. Our model has this the Cowboys winning by 5 so we will take Saints +7.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
I’m shocked this game wasnt slated for prime time as it should be. Tampa now looks like the frontrunner for the NFC South and has the arm to match the Detroit Lions. I don’t think its impossible to think both QB’s go over 250 yards and a pair of TD’s in what should be high scoring. We have the Lions winning by a FG so we will opt for Vegas’ TB +7.
San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings
The 49ers blew out the Jets even without McCaffrey playing. This game could spell trouble for the Vikings at their home opener. Nonetheless our model isn’t carrying most of that weight right now as it thinks it will be SF -2.5, we like the extra points that Vegas is offering us at MIN +6.5.
Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots
Seahawks won last week against the Broncos but didn’t really look that impressive (outside of that scramble TD), Geno Smith is aging and he wont be the savior for his team that much longer, its just a matter of time before he turns into a pumpkin soon. Patriots took an impressive win from the Bengals with their new head coach. Our model has Seattle winning by 2 but I think New England will somehow get the win here and the pundits will start to talk about their potential. As for the spread we will take NE +3.5.
Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers
The biggst question mark of this game is the Packers QB situation. Jordan Love is out for a few weeks with an injury and new hands will take reign (most likely Malik Willis). Our model has the Packers winning by 4 (given we probably under accounted for the QB absence), we will take Packers +3.5, if numbers keep going up take those as well, I’d be more comfortable with a TD spread.
Los Angeles Chargers at Carolina Panthers
Panthers looked terrible in week 1 so it can only get better from here on. Chargers come into town with a measly win over the Raiders in what was a closer game than they expected for most of the time. Our model has this one for Chargers by 6, we will take Panthers +6.5 for comfort here. Panthers should fix up their holes in their game plan or else people will start to be out of a job very soon.
New York Giants at Washington Commanders
I’m not sure why the line on this game is so low, thinking that both teams are almost on the same level. Yes they share some bad history of being horrible teams in the past but its quite obvious from last week that they are traveling in the opposite direction. We have Washington by 5 so we will happily take WSH -2.5.
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Browns were terrible last week, no doubt about it. Their QB play was awful, couldn’t establish a run game, and the defense got absolutely shredded. The good news? It was against the Dallas Cowboys with a new glow coming off fresh contracts for Dak Prescott and CD Lamb right before game time. I think this could be a bounce back game for them in this spot as they reimagine the game plan maybe with more creative runs. Jags squarely lost the game last week to the Dolphins when it came down to the wire. They might begin the season 0-2 this year after this game. We have this game pretty tight with Jacksonville -2 so we will take the extra points with CLE +3.5.
Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore was so close to wining in Kansas City last week, mere inches away. Most pundits believe they are expecting to come back and win this game by a big margin and that may be possible, but our model has it by BAL -8. Still, by trusting the model we go after there is value taking the Raiders +9.5. The Raiders took the Ravens to OT and won in 2021 (in Vegas) so I think this will be surprisingly close enough to squeak out a win on the spread.
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
If the Jets perform in any shape like they did last week I really don’t want to watch this game. Yes Aaron Rodgers can be great but we haven’t seen it, he hasn’t played in any preseason games. I can only believe what my eyes are seeing and so far it isn’t anything remotely good. This will be a dumpster fire of a game but close. Model predicts TEN -1 so extreme value sitting on TEN +4.5.
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
Rams almost had the comeback win in Detroit last week on the road. Stafford is use to playing from behind to get the comeback win and he has all the trust in his offense personnel. The team looked really good despite missing Aaron Donald on defense. Arizona came out of the gate and punched the Bills square in the mouth last week. There just wasn’t enough “umph” in the tank to get them to hang on to the win. Our model has the Rams winning by 3 so naturally we take LAR +1.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos
This could be a “homecoming” event for Russell Wilson if he suits up in this game. Bo Nix played a decent first week against a tough secondary, just not great enough to get the win. Steelers obviously have a dangerous playmaker in TJ Watt which absolutely won the game for them in Atlanta in week 1 by creating pressures and hits on the QB. I think Denver is in trouble here regardless of who suits up at QB for the Steelers. Model predicts Steelers win by 6. Spread pick will be PIT -3.
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati wants to erase the memory of their week 1 games. Historically, they have not been good to start the seasons but manually find their groove as the weeks go on. Kansas City doesn’t need any warm up period as they always look ready to compete on a high level. Our model has KC -8.5 but will gladly take the bet on KC -5.5.
Chicago Bears at Houston Texans
Bears scored 3 FG’s and 2 defensive touchdowns last game. Caleb Williams struggled mightily in his debut. One could say they got lucky last game but I think their luck runs out here in Houston. Our model has HOU -5.5 so our official play is in the 1.5 point difference. CHI +6.5 (I wouldn’t be surprised if this moves towards +7 at kickoff)
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles
Kirk Cousins looked old and out of place in his Atlanta debut. He was rushed on almost every snap and the offense couldn’t find a groove. The running game looked decent, just keep feeding Bijan Robinson more and he will find his groove. Eagles were a victim of the turf in their last game in Brazil. Our model has Philly crushing the Atlanta Falcons in their home opener at the “Linc” by almost 9 points. The official play is Eagles -6.5, this one might move higher towards kick off.

Week 2 ELO ratings

Notes:
Green Bay’s Jordan Love is dealing with an injury but not placed on IR, he’s unlikely to play in Week 2 so the ELO rating is adjusted down slightly.
Washington had a decent performance from rookie QB Jayden Daniels, I think the drop in ELO is over stated and this team definitely passes the “eye test” so they get a small boost.
New Orleans dominant performance can be overstated from playing the absolute worst team in the NFL so their ELO is adjusted slightly down from what it should be.
Chicago look anemic on offense as rookie QB Caleb Williams struggled in his debut, it wasn’t necessarily that the Bears won this game as the Titans lost it in the final minutes ELO adjusted down.
Detroit looked every bit as hyped and advertised as they fended off the Rams on their home turf in OT, they get a boost.
Minnesota Vikings woes are definitely overstated as they crushed the Giants, we will see how long they can hold things together, rating adjusted up.
Denver, Indy, Jacksonville, Arizona didn’t look too bad on the eye test, close losses all around and promising outlook, adjusted up.

Week 1 Sunday/Monday games

Tennessee Titans at Chicago Bears
Our model is predicting Bears -2.5, based on this Tennessee +4 looks like the value play.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons
Our model has this almost as a dead heat, but since Vegas has the like set as PIT +3.5 we will pick the value there.
Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills
Our model has this game looking closer to Bills -9, Vegas is giving us Buffalo -7 and we will take it.
NE Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals
Our model has this being Bengals -9, we will take what Vegas is giving us at Bengals -8
Jax Jaguars at Miami Dolphins
This one is pretty spot one, we have this one at MIA -4 and Vegas thinks this will be MIA -3.5 we like what they are thinking.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
Our model is giving us Texans -1.5 but Vegas has a completely different line at HOU -3 so we must take the opposite and side with Colts +3.
Minnesota Vikings at NY Giants
This one is essentially a “pick em” game for our model but vegas gives the slight edge to Vikings, it might be best to take Giants ML for the value here.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
This should be some messy football here, both teams trending down both in the short term and long term. Our model favors Saints significantly by -6.5 but will side with Vegas’ conservative NOLA -3.5.
Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks
New look Denver Broncos taking on Seattle, it should equate to an interesting and close matchup. Our model gives Seattle the upper hand by 5 points compared to Vegas’ over confidence at -6.5. We will flip it and go with with the true Vegas Broncos +6.5.
Vegas Raiders at LA Chargers
We have this game pretty dead even in our model even though bettors have this pinned at a 3 point favorite for the Chargers. I don’t believe the hype around the Chargers, especially out the gate. Vegas Raiders +3.
Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns
Again another close matchup in our model as we have this one at an essential “pick em.” Just before game time it was reported Dak Prescott got his contract he wanted giving a boost to Dallas mentally. We will take the Cowboys +2.5.
Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Bucs
We have this game leaning towards the home team Bucs at -5.5 points which is not too far away from the consensus of Vegas, they just offer a better deal with Bucs -4.
LA Rams at Detroit Lions
A rematch of last years postseason matchup this time with a extremely determined Lions team that has the Super Bowl in their sights. Rams are going to miss Aaron Donald in this one. Vegas has this as Lions -4.5 and we will take it as our model expects -5.5.
NY Jets at SF 49ers
Aaron Rodgers returns to the limelight Monday night. I’m sure this is highly skewed since I manually adjusted the Jets to lower the hype around but I really don’t see the Jets coming close in this one. Our model has this one at the 49ers by -9 points in this match up so it comes natural to take the 49ers -4 that Vegas is dangling in front of us.

International Series: Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Tonight’s matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers in São Paulo is expected to be tightly contested. According to my model, the Eagles are favored by about 1 point, reflecting a slight boost to their ELO rating based on their strong performance last season. Interestingly, the Vegas line originally opened at Eagles -2, but it has since moved to Eagles -2.5, indicating growing confidence in Philadelphia.

Despite the line movement, this game is shaping up to be very close on paper. Both teams have evenly matched strengths, and the percentages suggest a balanced contest. With Philadelphia getting the edge in odds, it’s likely to be a competitive game that could go either way.

We see value on the spread of the Packers +2.5.

NFL Week 1 ELO Ratings

Minnesota experienced the most significant decline in my rankings, largely due to the loss of key players JJ McCarthy and TJ Hockenson. Both athletes were expected to have standout seasons, but for now, they find themselves on the sidelines, supporting their teammates in hopes that the team can remain in playoff contention upon their return.

Similarly, New England faces a substantial setback with the loss of Barmore and the trade that effectively gave away Judon. This creates an even more challenging situation for whoever starts at quarterback in Week 1—potentially Brissett—until Drake Maye gets more involved in the season.

The Jets remain the most unpredictable team entering this season. While they managed a respectable performance last year despite losing veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers in the home opener, his advancing age further intensifies the urgency for a strong start. Their manufactured “playoff window” is narrowing quickly.

On a more positive note, I’ve raised the Lions’ ratings based on last season’s playoff success. They’ve evolved into a complete team, especially with the right quarterback at the helm. After a strong draft addressing their defensive needs, they now appear poised to be one of the top contenders this year.

NFL Preseason Rankings 2024

  1. Kansas City Chiefs
    • Do I need to say more?
  2. San Francisco 49ers
    • Strong finish to last season, top defense in league, will be back in contention
  3. Philadelphia Eagles
    • Offense efficiency fell off last half of season, tush push got figured out, no Kelce under center
  4. Detroit Lions
    • This team fought with great determination, Goff has something to prove, great balance of Offense and Defense
  5. Baltimore Ravens
    • Left something to prove, QB is aging with some new weapons around him
  6. Los Angeles Rams
    • Stafford still has an arm, Puca Nacua is one to watch for this season
  7. Miami Dolphins
    • Disappointing end in KC last playoffs, Tua looks in good health this season
  8. Houston Texans
    • Surprising AFC South champs, can the Sophmore QB come back again this year?
  9. Buffalo Bills
    • Losing Diggs is going to hurt in the clutch and put too much pressure on Allen
  10. Dallas Cowboys
    • Theres always a chance they can figure it out
  11. Cleveland Browns
    • Watson come back under center, will he be as good as “fix it” Flacco?
  12. Cincinnati Bengals
    • Bengals have fallen back from grace the past two seasons since appearing in the SB.
  13. Pittsburgh Steelers
    • Expect a modest season, good enough for them to squeak out an above .500 win pct
  14. Las Vegas Raiders
    • There is potential, pretty stout defense with Crosby and Wilkins now, just figure out that offense
  15. Indianapolis Colts
    • QB Anthony Richardson should be coming back, his play looked really good early last year
  16. Atlanta Falcons
    • The conundrum of having 2 starting QBs on the roster is perplexing, how could this effect the locker room?
  17. Jacksonville Jaguars
    • Trevor Lawrence literally threw away the season last year, lets hope he keeps that football more secure now that theres competition in the AFC South
  18. Arizona Cardinals
    • Kyler Murray should be 100% this season, maybe they will show signs of that incredible season a few years ago.
  19. Green Bay Packers
    • I’m not buying into the Jordan Love hype, he got way over paid this offseason, expect a set back
  20. Chicago Bears
    • I wanted to put this one lower but I think they will be a middle of the pack team, slightly losing record, growing pains.
  21. Los Angeles Chargers
    • Their whole offense left, its going to be tough for them this season
  22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    • Baker Mayfield proved he can be a starting QB but can he stay and even become their franchise QB? We will see this season.
  23. New Orleans Saints
    • Derek Carr is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you’re going to get out of him any given Sunday.
  24. New York Jets
    • Rodgers is making a comeback again, this time a year older. I don’t think he has the same fountain of fortune as Brady.
  25. Tennessee Titans
    • No more Derrick Henry, unfamiliar faces in at offense AND a now tough AFC South? Its over.
  26. New England Patriots
    • New coach, new game plan. Drake Maye should be a great addition if given time to develop
  27. Minnesota Vikings
    • All on JJ McCarthy’s shoulders, or should I say arms?
  28. Seattle Seahawks
    • Good draft for them this year, their defense will pick up and finally stop runs but is Geno Smith still the answer for them at QB?
  29. Denver Broncos
    • Fresh start for the franchise after dealing Wilson away, team finally started clicking last half of the season.
  30. New York Giants
    • Losing Barkley to a rival is going to hurt Daniel Jones more than it will the team, now theres no body to help bail him out.
  31. Washington Commanders
    • Jayden Daniels fresh in at QB, maybe some growing pains, only way to go is up.
  32. Carolina Panthers
    • Sad excuse of a franchise